Case Study

How CreatorScore Would Have Prevented ABC's $40M+ Mistake

AI-powered due diligence for the creator economy. Every risk signal was public record before ABC invested — CreatorScore would have found them in under 60 seconds.

Taylor Frankie PaulTikTok + InstagramMarch 2026

Total Followers

8.6M

TikTok 6.1M + IG 2.5M

Posts Analyzed

49

Across 2 platforms

Comments Analyzed

540

Real audience comments

CreatorScore

40 / 100

Poor — Knockout triggered

Score: 40/100 (Poor) — Knockout Triggered

Critical real-world controversy: Felony aggravated assault guilty plea (2023), domestic violence arrest, ongoing investigation (2026). Score capped at 40. Volatility: HIGH RISK (60/100).

Executive Summary

On September 10, 2025, ABC announced Taylor Frankie Paul as the next Bachelorette — a franchise-first selection of someone who had never appeared on The Bachelor. On March 19, 2026 — three days before the season premiere — ABC was forced to cancel the entire season after TMZ published video of Paul assaulting her ex-boyfriend in a 2023 domestic violence incident.

The arrest, charges, and guilty plea were all public record at the time of casting. A CreatorScore risk assessment would have flagged Taylor Frankie Paul as HIGH RISK with a score of 40/100 (Poor) before ABC invested an estimated $40M+ in production, marketing, and brand partnerships.

CreatorScore Risk Assessment

7-agent AI analysis across 49 posts and 540 audience comments

40/100
Poor — Knockout Active

Score capped at 40 by a knockout factor triggered by critical web controversies: felony assault guilty plea, domestic violence arrest, and ongoing criminal investigation. Without the knockout, the weighted average would have been approximately 65/100 — her content and engagement are strong, but real-world behavior makes her toxic for brands.

Agent Score Breakdown

Based on 49 posts and 540 comments across TikTok (6.1M) and Instagram (2.5M)

Content Risk
96

Low risk in posted content

Authenticity
95

Real audience, genuine engagement

Audience Quality
71

Active, engaged community

ROI Prediction
69

Decent engagement potential

Brand Safety
65

Controversy drags score down

Community Trust
59

DV concerns erode audience trust

Sentiment
35

Audience sentiment is negative

60

Volatility Score

HIGH RISK

PR crisis risk — how likely to cause a brand safety incident

Controversy History
100
Content Volatility
69
Behavioral Unpredictability
18
Content Risk Profile
5

The Gap Only AI Can Find

Her content is great (96/100) and her audience is real (95/100). Traditional content-only analysis would rate her as excellent. But her real-world behavior is catastrophic — and her audience knows it (Sentiment: 35/100). This is exactly the gap CreatorScore fills.

What 540 Comments Reveal

CreatorScore analyzed 540 audience comments across 30 posts. The audience is real (Authenticity 95/100) and actively discussing the controversies. Any brand association would immediately trigger this kind of backlash.

Negative Comments — Assault & Violence References

IG@jackieandheartsMar 20

DID WE ALL NOT SEE THE SAME VIDEO??!!! WE SAW HER HIT HER BABY WITH A METAL STOOL!! And then NOT IMMEDIATELY MAKE SURE SHES OK! wtf am I missing?!

Child safety concern
IG@tj_1211Mar 21

Abuse in front of your child is NOT ok! When told "your daughter is in here" and you don't STOP that's a problem. I've supported and gone to bat for this young lady not anymore.

Former supporter turned critic
IG@xannaliesexxMar 20

Stop hiding behind "mental health" to excuse hurting people. What you did was wrong — full stop. Your partner got hurt, a child was put at risk.

Accountability demand
TT@amymaurercreelMar 20

As a mother I remain horrified.

Parental concern
IG@will_njoMar 21

That video was horrific and to be quite frank, extremely sickening.

Audience shock
IG@__emacias__Mar 22

WHY IS SHE NOT IN JAIL ????

Criminal justice concern
IG@elizabethroriiMar 21

You can remove the bachelorette from your bio now.

Career damage
IG@harrisonbigneyMar 20

Please seek help and leave every social media platform forever

Deplatforming demand

Supportive Comments — But Even Fans Are Conflicted

IG@agirlandherjeepMar 20

I still support you Taylor! He knew what he was doing & it was dirty!!!! You got this girl!!!!

Loyal fan — but references incident
IG@miakallabatMar 20

WE STILL WANT YOUR SEASON QUEEN

Die-hard fan — show cancelled regardless

Brand Risk: Critical

Even supportive comments reference the controversy. Any brand sponsorship post would be immediately flooded with DV references, “chair throwing” jokes, and calls for accountability. The comment section IS the brand safety risk — and it's organic, not coordinated.

Timeline of Events

Every event below was publicly documented before ABC's September 2025 casting decision.

May 2022

Soft swinging scandal — admits to non-monogamy in TikTok livestream, fractures MomTok community, leads to divorce from Tate Paul.

Feb 2023

Arrested in Herriman, Utah — felony aggravated assault, 2x DV in presence of child, child abuse with injury, criminal mischief. Threw metal chairs at Dakota Mortensen while child was in room.

Aug 2023

Pleads guilty to third-degree felony aggravated assault. Plea held in abeyance for 3 years.

Sep 2024

Secret Lives of Mormon Wives Season 1 premieres on Hulu. Paul is the central figure.

Sep 2025

ABC announces Paul as the next Bachelorette on the Call Her Daddy podcast. First-ever lead not from a Bachelor season.

Mar 17, 2026

TMZ publishes Paul's 2023 arrest mugshot. Cinnabon and Meta terminate brand partnerships within 48 hours.

Mar 19, 2026

TMZ releases assault video showing Paul throwing barstools, attempting headlock. ABC cancels entire season 3 days before premiere.

Mar 20, 2026

Dakota Mortensen files restraining order and demands sole custody. SLOMW Season 3 filming paused.

Estimated Financial Impact to ABC/Disney

Full season production (filming, crew, post)$30-40M
Marketing & promotion (March Madness ads, social)$5-10M
Lost advertising revenue (22 episodes)$20-30M
Brand partnership losses (Cinnabon, Meta)$2-5M
Franchise reputation damageIncalculable
Total Estimated Loss$55-80M+

Every Signal Was Already Public

Every risk signal — the felony conviction, the DV arrest, the negative audience sentiment — was publicly available at the time of casting. CreatorScore would have surfaced them all in under 60 seconds for less than $0.25 per assessment.

What CreatorScore Would Have Shown in September 2025

Had ABC used CreatorScore before announcing Taylor Frankie Paul as the Bachelorette, the platform would have returned the following assessment based on information that was publicly available at the time:

CreatorScore

40/100 POOR

Capped by critical controversy knockout

Volatility

60/100 HIGH RISK

Felony guilty plea on public record since Aug 2023

Sentiment

35/100

Audience already discussing DV arrest in comments

Authenticity

95/100

Genuine audience means real backlash, not bot noise

Recommendation: DO NOT PARTNER

Active felony plea agreement, documented violence, audience-aware controversy. Any brand partnership would trigger immediate audience backlash referencing the DV conviction.

Don't Let the Next Taylor Frankie Paul Cost You $40M+

The information that destroyed ABC's investment was hiding in plain sight — public court records, news articles, and social media posts. CreatorScore's AI-powered web search and controversy detection would have surfaced these risks in under 60 seconds for less than $0.25 per creator assessment.

Data sourced from CreatorScore AI analysis (March 2026). Web intelligence gathered from publicly available sources including NPR, NBC News, TMZ, Variety, CBS News, and social media platforms. This case study is for educational purposes and does not constitute legal or investment advice.